Just what is sustainability, and whatever it is, is it achievable? We use the term in every day speech, as in sustainable growth, sustainable forestry, but what do we mean?
From one point of view, sustainable growth is an oxymoron: Growth in a continuous economic sense is just not sustainable. In an everyday sense, we do not see this. We do today, exactly what we did yesterday, with every expectation of doing so tomorrow. Change in infinitesimal, so that we are not aware of it, though we do curse it: nothing is constant but change!
Yet, over the years, change is cumulative. What I do today is not what my parents did when they were my age. What I do today is not what I did when I was a youth. Much of that of course is a reflection of my own aging process. I no longer need to do what I did when I was younger, or I no longer have any interest in doing so.
We live in a society in which growth is inescapable. It is the driver of everything that impacts us in our daily lives. There are new products to engage our attention. There are new TV shows to watch. There are new industrial and residential subdivisions covering our land. Overall, we measure the impact of these things through what we call our Gross Domestic Product or GDP. Year in and year out, we have been led to expect a growth in the total GDP of our society. Without it, we are told, and led to understand that our economy will falter, and that our own livelihood will be affected.
But continuous growth in a finite system is impossible. Our world is finite, no matter how apparent it is to many that it is not.
Professor Bartlett has made a remarkably succinct presentation of exponential growth. If we expect any increase on a regular basis, then we are looking at exponential growth. Exponential growth is subtle. At 1 percent a year it is hard to see, but at 1% a year, whatever we are looking at will double in overall size in 70 years. About one human lifetime. At 2% it will double in 35 years, and at 3% in under 25 years, one human generation.
Our politicians at all levels are desperate to convince us that they can produce growth in the 5-6% range, and thus convince us that we should vote them into power. Our local politicians are just so happy to endorse plans that call for the growth of their communities of 6% and more a year, for the next 25 years, without once recognizing that 6% over 25 years means a quadrupling of the size of the community. (6% annual growth means a doubling in about 12 years.)
That's not just a quadrupling of the tax base, on which their salaries are based, but a quadrupling of the amount of garbage that will be produced, a quadrupling of the road systems needed, a quadrupling of the land needed to support the community, as well as a quadrupling of the number of citizens.
Where on earth are the resources going to come from to fuel this growth. Because without a quadrupling of the resources, without a quadrupling of the farm produce to feed the citizens, without a quadrupling of the fuel systems, the growth cannot be sustained.
So you see, growth is not a sustainable model for the future of our society. We have to reach a no growth situation in order be sustainable.
Friday, October 20, 2017
On Trump
I don't know when I've been more concerned about the democracy to our south. Or whether it even makes any difference!
I don't recall a public figure with less respect for other people, nor a complete absence of respect for the truth, than the current president of the US, POTUS. The list of people he has dissed, and of the verifiable facts he continues to deny, or provide his own "alternatives," appears inexhaustible. He is like a chameleon, who changes his views depending on who he is taking to. There does not appear to be any consistency in his approach to his job.
When the Washington Post publishes an article explicitly asking for his impeachment. When the word is on the lips of Nancy Pelosi. When it appears as though SNL has a better grip on reality, then how long can this presidency last?
I just hope that Robert Mueller can drop his bomb shells before either Trump of Kim drop their's.
I don't recall a public figure with less respect for other people, nor a complete absence of respect for the truth, than the current president of the US, POTUS. The list of people he has dissed, and of the verifiable facts he continues to deny, or provide his own "alternatives," appears inexhaustible. He is like a chameleon, who changes his views depending on who he is taking to. There does not appear to be any consistency in his approach to his job.
When the Washington Post publishes an article explicitly asking for his impeachment. When the word is on the lips of Nancy Pelosi. When it appears as though SNL has a better grip on reality, then how long can this presidency last?
I just hope that Robert Mueller can drop his bomb shells before either Trump of Kim drop their's.
On Harvey Weinberg
Mr Harvey Weinberg has been in the news
this week. As a result of accusations of
sexual harassment he has been left by his wife and has been removed from a
position on the board of the Oscars, and other companies with whom he is associated.
While I am appalled and shocked at his
reported behaviour, I also find myself somewhat in sympathy with him.
His reported behaviour sounds extreme. He is said to have grabbed women and
attempted and forced kisses. He has met
women on invitation to his rooms near or naked.
He appears not have understood when No has been voiced. He appears to have succeeded in forcing
himself on young actresses eager for his professional approval.
Of course this is extreme, and beyond
normal social behaviour. It sounds every
bit as bad as the reported behaviour of president Trump, with whom he appears
to have had a friendship. It is sexual
harassment, requiring sexual favours in return, perhaps, for some preference in
an acting career.
This has of course long been the rumour of
the Hollywood scene. Young starlets were
often thought to be bedded by their producers or agents. There may be some truth to that, perhaps, now
confirmed by the actions of Harvey, and the belated reports of many victims.
But there is always innuendo in the
dealings of men with women. Flirting
depends on getting a reaction one from and of the other. Without flirting there would be very few
healthy relationships. Flirting may even
be the first or early steps in courting.
If the reactions are reciprocated, and deemed mutual, then indeed things
may progress, fairly and legitimately. Most
of us when rebuffed, concede, and move one.
Once however flirting is pushed repeatedly and without reciprocation it
becomes harassment.
My sympathy stems from an understanding of
basic male and female biology. We both
have the same fundamental biological drives: We need to reproduce. Our hormones constantly drive us in this
direction. We choose to manage that
drive of course in the interests of a stable society. Because of the imbalance in our reproductive
roles – males have a very brief involvement in fertilisation, but females bear
the long gestation, we have adopted societal standards that tend to dictate
monogamy. Not evidently always with
great success.
Males are hunters; females are hunted. And whether married or not, the urge in men
continues throughout life to find other partners. Its not necessarily conscious. Nor is it in women either. But its there, it does after all take two to
tango. How else explain that many
extramarital affairs occur. How else
explain much of what we see in contemporary culture, western at least, where
freedom is worshipped, including the freedom to flaunt one’s talents, both
female and male.
Perhaps also my sympathy stems from similar
misdemeanours of my own. Sexual
harassment is not only the fault of those high and mighty. It affects all of us, and many of us are
guilty. I am, and eternally grateful to
those women who I attempted to force myself on that they had the guts to say
no. Harassment is like bullying: It can
never be tolerated.
None of this condones what Harvey Weinstein
has done. Nor the actions of others
similarly caught doing what many of us dream of – what are pinups after all but
dreams, but manage to control ourselves within the norms of society.
In some circles, male exclusively, it has
been said that, “No means maybe, and maybe means yes.” But our respect for women requires us to
recognise that No is always No. If we
learn anything from Harvey, it must be that we need to honour their wishes.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)